With Trump as president, we needed Coca-Cola and popcorn to watch the circus he created while arguing with heads of state and government from around the world. With Biden as president, we feel we need antidepressants to cope in a world that seems to have gone mad.
Our Advice
Be cautious when B tells you that T is your enemy and almost everyone agrees with him. The fact that so many around you agree with him may indicate he is right. However, it could also be a signal that something is amiss. Therefore, scrutinize to see if it is not a cabal, a conspiracy that risks leading you astray, removing from you someone who is, in fact, your true friend. Hence, listen attentively to everyone but use your judgment to discern their true intentions: are they acting out of genuine friendship or do they harbor hidden hostile thoughts? Act as you deem best, armed with all the information. And do not hesitate to go against what you are told if your mind tells you otherwise.
Our Thesis
'They' tell us that if Trump becomes president in 2024, it will mean the certain destruction of our world as we know it today. According to them, Ukraine will be abandoned to the Russians, the US will withdraw from NATO, and isolationism will become their prevailing policy. Dictators will be free to act with impunity because their ally, Donald Trump, will occupy the White House. They predict he will establish a dictatorship and ruin America's economy, among other calamities. Who are 'they'? Incompetents and idiots (refer to 'Why this blog').
Our Opinion
'They' take us for fools. However, all this is happening live, right before our eyes today.
Abandonment of Ukraine
Vladimir Putin's Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014 and again in 2022. During both instances, Trump was merely a private citizen. Instead, Biden was in the White House: as Obama's vice president in 2014 and as the sitting president in 2022. In early December 2021, Biden publicly declared he would not dispatch US troops to defend Ukraine, which Putin interpreted as a green light to invade the country on February 24, 2022. As of July 2024, with Russians still engaged in fighting in Ukraine and Ukraine yet to secure victory against Russia, much of the responsibility lies with Biden (refer to 'Biden and Ukraine'). The US possesses tens of thousands of highly capable weapons—F16 jets, long-range ATACMS missiles, Abrams heavy battle tanks, Patriot batteries, Reaper drones—but has not provided significant aid to Ukraine. Unfortunately, Ukraine will only receive F16 planes from Belgium (which is the size of Dobrogea, a small region of Romania) and a Patriot battery from Romania. Even with just a few hundred of these weapons, Ukrainians could potentially have turned the tide of the war by now. A hundred F16 planes and 400-500 ATACMS missiles could have crippled the Kerch bridge, ammunition depots in Crimea, and occupied Ukrainian territories. Subsequently, an offensive supported by 200-300 Abrams tanks could have easily breached the Russian front manned by troops lacking ammunition and fuel. Deprived of critical supplies, Russians could have been expelled from Ukraine swiftly. Nevertheless, Angelo contends that with Trump in the White House, Ukraine would have successfully repelled the Russian invasion (refer to 'The Big Lie: Trump and Ukraine').
Â
The Destruction of Our World: When?
Was it yesterday, during Trump's time? No. Essentially, during his tenure, we had numerous arguments and verbal disputes, but no active conflicts. But today, with Biden as president? We're embroiled in two land wars: Ukraine (see 'World's Hotspots: Ukraine') and Gaza ('World's Hotspots: Gaza'). On the seas, there are Houthi attacks on ships crossing the Red Sea ('World Hotspots: Iran'). And another conflict looms ('The World's Hotspots: China vs. Taiwan. The attack must happen this year'). In Africa, Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso have aligned with Russia, while Sudan, Chad, and Libya could follow suit. This grim scenario earns Biden the gold medal and crown, while Trump is dubbed the 'loser'.
Who is Truly the Friend of Dictators?
Trump has shown himself to be a staunch ally of dictators such as Putin (Russia), Xi Jinping (China), and Kim Jong-Un (North Korea). Publicly and privately, Trump demonstrated his military strength, ensuring they remained compliant. Even during Iran's minor uprisings, their key strategist, General Qassem Soleimani, was elevated to the status of martyr and sent to advise underworld leaders. In contrast, Biden has declared himself an ardent adversary of dictators, tirelessly working for democracy and global peace, a fact emphasized repeatedly by detractors as "Incompetents" and "Idiots". To achieve this goal, Biden has attacked Vladimir Putin many times and threatened to make him suffer all the evil in the world; and Putin was so impressed that he also ordered the murder of his main opponent, Alexandre Navalny. In addition to the invasion of Ukraine and the start of a war of an intensity and savagery rarely encountered throughout history. Which apparently didn't stop Biden from adopting the language of Vladimir Putin when he attacked Donald Trump as a 'Nazi'. I mean, for Biden, Trump is a 'Nazi'; just as Zelensky and his people are 'Nazis' for Vladimir Putin. Laughing (in a fake way), we could say that we are given another argument supporting our opinion that Trump will help Ukraine and Zelensky to win the war against Putin's Russia: the 'Nazis' among themselves must help each other, right? To create the second 'Axis', right? Also, Biden is no friend of Netanyahu either; unfortunately, with the weapons and bombs provided by America to Biden, Netanyahu and Israel destroy the infrastructure of Gaza and kill the inhabitants (and what does the decision of the International Court of Justice matter to them, which has already warned that without a radical change in the way to wage its war against Hamas, Israel will be found guilty of committing genocide in Gaza).
Who is the 'Friend' of France?
In 2016, Australia initiated negotiations with France for the purchase of 12 submarines, culminating in a contract signed in February 2019 with the first delivery slated for 2030. Trump made no objections; however, Biden's response was more assertive. In September 2021, he compelled Australia to terminate the contract with France and acquire 8 submarines from the United States instead (including 3 second-hand submarines, with deliveries scheduled between 2032 and 2038, and the rest following from 2040 onwards, contingent on smooth progress). This incident purportedly demonstrates Biden's superior business acumen compared to Trump. Yet, it seems unlikely that Australians agree, having paid a compensation of just 555 million euros to France, besides losing 100-200 skilled engineers and technicians who opted to remain in France after training. New Zealand also suffered as a collateral victim, relying on Australia's navy for protection. Less publicized, yet equally consequential, is the loss of the European market for France's Rafale fighter jet to America's F35, attributed partly to Biden's influence. This was exemplified in Switzerland's abrupt reversal from a prospective Rafale deal to favoring the F35 shortly after a swift visit by Biden. Furthermore, Biden's singular visit to France during his tenure was primarily obligatory, compelled by his participation in commemorating the 80th anniversary of the Normandy Landings in World War II. In contrast, France was Trump's most frequently visited country during his presidency, underscored by his amicable relationship with Macron, whom he supported on several occasions.
Help from Macron
France and Macron neither forget nor forgive; following Biden's humiliation, they seized the perfect opportunity for retaliation amidst the Ukraine war. Macron's France effectively thwarted Biden's initial attempts to coerce Ukraine into surrendering to Russian aggression (recalling the incident of the 'American taxi' rejected by Zelensky). Furthermore, they vigorously contested Biden's reluctance to supply Ukraine with potent weaponry to resist Russian forces (see: 'Macron and Ukraine: Behind the Scenes' and 'Macron and Ukraine: In the Spotlight'). Notably, in April 2024, a formidable media campaign portrayed Biden as the 'savior' of Ukraine after Congress approved a $60 billion aid package. However, within two weeks, Macron delivered a lethal blow with surgical precision in the Financial Times, declaring, "France will send troops to Ukraine as soon as the Ukrainians request it." Despite no such request having materialized, the average, somewhat uninformed American is left with the impression that French troops are already engaged in combat alongside Ukrainians against the Russians. In comparison, Biden appears woefully impotent next to Macron. Meanwhile, Trump claims he could achieve peace within 24 hours (a preposterous assertion, but one that enhances his image as an omnipotent figure capable of halting the conflict, unlike Biden, who has failed to do so). The final straw came during Biden's exhaustive schedule commemorating the 80th anniversary of the Normandy landings, a grueling program that could humble even a 40-year-old. To top it off, on June 27, a visibly fatigued Biden had to face Trump in a 'Terminator' role, while Macron toasted with the finest French champagne, wishing Biden a 'safe journey ahead.'
The True Ecological Balance Sheet
Biden's administration has implemented numerous environmental protection measures, unlike his predecessor Trump. However, critics classify Biden's 'ecological' efforts under 'useful idiot ecology,' contrasting sharply with Trump's policies characterized as 'true ecology' (see 'True Ecology vs. Useful Idiot Ecology'). Moreover, the environmental toll of conflicts during Biden's term adds a grim red hue to his ecological record, akin to the bloodshed in these wars.
Who Could Be the Real 'Dictator' of the United States?
Ask 'Incompetents' and 'Idiots,' and they'll chorus 'Donald Trump.' Yet, during his tenure, no former president or members of his administration faced legal prosecution. Not even Hillary Clinton, Trump's 2016 presidential rival, despite his threats to jail her. Conversely, under Biden, Trump faces multiple criminal accusations—a dubious 'honor' even Jefferson Davis, the president of the slave-owning South during the Civil War, didn't encounter. Accused of 'treason' post-war, Davis saw the case closed in February 1869 without trial.
Who Attacks Justice and Judges?
Until July 1, Trump, though a private citizen, morally disqualified by his tumultuous re-election campaign, attacked lower court judges and prosecutors. Biden, aiming to outshine, escalated directly, vigorously criticizing Supreme Court judges for their July 1, 2024 decision. They ruled that U.S. presidents enjoy immunity for actions and decisions made in office. This immunity applies universally, not uniquely to Trump, shaping future presidency impacts until possibly overturned—a typical Supreme Court decision's lifespan is 40 years. Hence, Biden secures the 'winner' label in the 'attack on justice and judges' test.
Â
Where Do They Stand Economically?
Biden claims enormous success with his economic policies, backed by official statistics. Unfortunately for him, American citizens neither consume numbers nor use them as fuel for their cars. They feel they are living much worse than before, regardless of what the statistics suggest.
But How Did We Get Here?
At 81, Biden and his 77-year-old opponent, Trump, who appears much younger due to his energetic persona, are locked in a battle. It's no surprise; Trump is fueled by a desire to seek revenge against Biden and his associates for their ongoing legal challenges. But how did this rivalry come about, pitting two elderly men against each other for the presidency of the United States? The turning point was 2022 when Ron DeSantis, then a charismatic governor of Florida, announced his bid for the 2024 presidential election. This declaration was akin to a nuclear bomb for the Democratic camp. DeSantis, with half of Biden's age and a striking resemblance to the iconic Democratic President J.F. Kennedy, posed a formidable threat. His mere presence and relatively clean record could have easily won him the presidential race against the octogenarian Biden. To neutralize this threat, Biden's camp resurrected Donald Trump from his retirement in the luxurious paradise of Florida, starting with a criminal case involving illegally retained secret documents. Subsequently, more serious charges followed swiftly, achieving their goal: Donald Trump returned to the forefront, ready to challenge Biden in the 2024 presidential race.
Who Will Win the November 2024 Election?
The televised debate between Trump and Biden on June 27, 2024, was decisive: Trump is likely to win (barring an exceptional change of circumstances, which is highly improbable). Here are our scenarios for the vote on November 5, 2024:
Most Likely Scenario: 65-70%
Biden withdraws before election day; alternatively, he or his supporters withdraw him. His replacement, considered a "second-hand" choice by Americans, stands little chance against Trump, who will likely win the election comfortably.
Likely Scenario: 30-35%
Biden withdraws before election day; his replacement performs well, and Trump wins, albeit narrowly. Biden's successor and the Democratic Party contest the election outcome in court, and ultimately, the Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump.
Least Likely Scenario: 0-5%
Biden withdraws before election day; however, Trump's campaign suffers a significant decline in performance without Biden as his direct opponent, resulting in a loss. Trump and the Republican camp refuse to accept the election result, leading to years of legal battles.
Black Swan Event
Biden proceeds to run; Trump wins, but Biden and the Democratic camp refuse to acknowledge the result, deepening the divide in the country.
Epilogue
What will Trump do if he regains the presidency following the November 5, 2024 election? Find out in the article to be published in November, after the American election results are announced.
Comments